U.S. Open 2024: The large questions for the third spherical

PINEHURST, N.C. — Fifteen-time main champion Tiger Woods will not be round for the weekend on the 124th U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 — and world No. 1 golfer Scottie Scheffler barely made it.

Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg survived the quick and agency situations and stifling warmth to take the lead at 5 beneath, which is 1 stroke higher than LIV Golf League captain Bryson DeChambeau, Belgium’s Thomas Detry and Patrick Cantlay heading into the ultimate 36 holes.

4-time main champion Rory McIlroy — making an attempt to finish an almost 10-year drought with out successful one — is barely 2 strokes behind, together with Tony Finau and France’s Matthieu Pavon.

Woods, a three-time U.S. Open winner, missed the reduce for the fourth time in his previous 5 begins within the occasion. Scheffler appeared like he is perhaps headed house early, too, till the reduce moved from 4 over to five over to maintain him round.

Here is what to look at within the last 36 holes at Pinehurst No. 2:


Who do you belief essentially the most heading into the weekend?

Mark Schlabach: I might simply go along with McIlroy or Åberg, who’re in all probability essentially the most proficient gamers among the many leaders, or DeChambeau, who’s brimming with confidence in his gear and recreation.

However I’ll go along with Hideki Matsuyama, who’s trying to win his second main championship after he captured his first on the 2021 Masters. He received in opposition to an elite area on the Genesis Invitational in February and is greater than able to doing it once more.

Matsuyama has the most effective brief video games on the earth — he got here into the week ranked first on tour in strokes gained: across the inexperienced (.761) and sixth in scrambling (68.4%).

If situations are going to get tougher, and Pinehurst No. 2 goes to get browner and firmer on the weekend, I will belief the man who is aware of the best way to stand up and down from nearly wherever. Whereas Matsuyama’s placing has been inconsistent previously, he picked up greater than 3 strokes on the sphere in that statistic within the second spherical.

Paolo Uggetti: How about the latest winner of a U.S. Open? It hasn’t been that lengthy since DeChambeau proved to be the perfect golfer in a 156-man area. To this point this week, on a golf course that most individuals would not have thought match the smashmouth DeChambeau, he has performed it to perfection.

DeChambeau has been affected person and restricted his errors. He hasn’t been overly aggressive, and but he has nonetheless used his size to his benefit. Even when he has carded bogeys, he has been in a position to bounce again with birdies shortly.

And when the second has referred to as for one thing apart from regular golf, DeChambeau has responded. On each of his last holes Thursday and Friday, DeChambeau punctuated his rounds with a birdie — a chip-in on the 18th within the first spherical and a dart on the ninth gap for a birdie within the second spherical.

For all of his well-known status as a bomber, DeChambeau has had a really balanced week with robust showings in his brief recreation (plus-0.88 strokes gained on the sphere) and his placing, which he referred to as a power earlier this week (plus 1.02 strokes gained). All of it provides as much as a really sustainable method that ought to stand up to regardless of the weekend brings.


Who must win the U.S. Open essentially the most?

Schlabach: It needs to be McIlroy, who has received all all over the world over the previous 10 years however hasn’t captured a significant championship in that point span. His final win within the huge 4 got here on the PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Membership in Louisville, Kentucky, on Aug. 10, 2014. If he lifts a trophy on Sunday, it will finish his 3,598-day drought of not successful one.

McIlroy did what he needed to do within the first two rounds — he did not blow up, stayed shut and is true there in rivalry once more. He grabbed the co-lead at 5-under 65 within the first spherical, then took a small step again with a 2-over 72 within the second. He’ll begin the third spherical 2 photographs behind Åberg.

McIlroy’s putter should get scorching once more. Within the second spherical, he led the sphere in strokes gained: off the tee (2.20), however misplaced practically 2½ strokes on the greens. That has to vary.

Since his final main championship win at Valhalla, McIlroy has completed within the prime 10 of a significant 20 instances, essentially the most of any participant throughout that span. It is past time for him to get it accomplished and win his fifth main.

Uggetti: After watching his pal Xander Schauffele lastly attain the mountaintop in a significant ultimately month’s PGA Championship, Cantlay is now the most effective gamers on the earth with out that elusive main title.

On paper, Cantlay’s profession is as stellar as it may be with no main: eight profession wins, a FedEx Cup title and over $45 million in profession earnings. However there is a particular void in his résumé the place a significant ought to theoretically be. Cantlay has repeatedly light at main championships and has by no means completed higher than tied for 14th at a U.S. Open.

Popping out on prime at this U.S. Open wouldn’t solely give him that main, however it will even be an particularly satisfying one at a course that doesn’t resemble the sorts of setups that Cantlay normally thrives in. Pinehurst No. 2 hasn’t been a birdiefest. As an alternative, it has been a grind, and will Cantlay have the ability to survive the gauntlet he can have deserved each little bit of that trophy.


Can Scheffler get again into rivalry?

Schlabach: Even a John Deere would not begin each now and again. We have develop into so accustomed to Scheffler enjoying practically flawlessly each week that it is beautiful when he isn’t within the combine. Scheffler, who had received in 5 of his previous eight begins, together with his second victory on the Masters, appeared out of kinds within the first two rounds. The world No. 1 golfer appeared annoyed on the tee containers and the greens.

Scheffler was erratic on the tee within the first 36 holes, discovering 17 of 28 fairways. He hit 66.7% of greens and ranks ninth in strokes gained: strategy (1.89) by means of two rounds. However his placing has once more been a legal responsibility — he misplaced 3.30 strokes to the sphere on the greens within the second spherical — and his brief recreation hasn’t been nice, both. He threw his putter within the air after lacking a putt on Friday.

After posting a 4-over 74 on Friday, Scheffler made the reduce on the quantity and can begin the third spherical 10 strokes behind Åberg. That is too far again. Like we noticed him do on the PGA Championship, possibly Scheffler can sneak into the highest 15 or higher.

Uggetti: I do not see it. Far be it from me to doubt the No. 1 participant on the earth, however Scheffler admitted it himself after Friday’s spherical of 74: He did not significantly put together in addition to he might have for this main and properly, he is drained. He simply had a child, in spite of everything, and received yet one more PGA Tour occasion.

“It positively was a little bit of a fatigue facet,” Scheffler stated. “Taking part in poor golf shouldn’t be enjoyable, however I just like the difficult facet of it … The unpredictability of the native areas possibly obtained to me a bit bit.”

There is no doubt in my thoughts that Scheffler will make a run at a top-10 end, if not higher. However to see him climb again into true rivalry whereas being 10 photographs again at first of the weekend feels only a bit far-fetched. Even for him.


Who was the most important disappointment within the first two rounds?

Schlabach: It appeared that Justin Thomas had turned the nook with a tie for eighth on the PGA Championship, however maybe that was extra the product of him enjoying on a well-recognized course in his native Louisville. After lacking the reduce on the Masters in April, JT missed the reduce at Pinehurst No. 2 — he was 11 over after 36 holes.

It was the fifth time in his previous seven begins in majors that Thomas missed the reduce. Thomas was thought of a sleeper by some on the U.S. Open due to his magical palms across the greens. However he could not hit the greens — he was a hundred and fifty fifth in strokes gained: strategy (-2.77) — and continued to battle to make putts. He was 137th in strokes gained: placing (-1.32) and wanted 57 putts in two rounds.

Uggetti: I assume we must always have anticipated it, however after seeing Viktor Hovland practically win the PGA Championship at Valhalla, I anticipated him to make a critical transfer to contend at this yr’s U.S. Open. Hovland is again together with his swing coach, Joe Mayo, who was on the grounds this week, and appeared to have figured one thing out together with his swing that introduced his recreation again to life.

Thursday’s opening spherical of 78, nevertheless, proved in any other case. Hovland shot 2 beneath on Friday, however it stays unclear if his recreation is really again in form to compete at majors or whether or not he and Mayo want to return to the drafting board or just proceed to tweak and regulate no matter must be fastened. Of be aware: Hovland misplaced practically 2 strokes to the sphere together with his brief recreation this week, part of his recreation that appeared to have improved.

It wasn’t too way back that Hovland was thought of the most effective gamers on the earth after successful the Tour Championship. Now, after his previous two main performances, Hovland is probably going someplace within the center — not as unhealthy as he confirmed Thursday, however maybe not so good as he appeared on the PGA.

Hovland has loads of expertise; the query is whether or not he’ll have the ability to harness it into outcomes befitting of it. Pinehurst might need been a step again, however it might have additionally been a obligatory setback to make higher strides sooner or later.


Can anybody over par make a transfer?

Schlabach: Reigning Open Championship winner Brian Harman had an attention-grabbing second spherical. After beginning on the again 9, he was 5 over after carding a double bogey on No. 12 and back-to-back bogeys on Nos. 14 and 15. However then he picked up birdies on Nos. 18, 1 and 5 to get again to 2 over after 36 holes.

Harman’s iron play hasn’t been nice this season, however he is good across the greens, and his putter can get scorching.

Uggetti: I am throwing all warning to the wind and choosing Sergio Garcia right here. Has he been in type as of late, even on LIV? No. Has he contended in a significant championship just lately? Additionally no — he has 10 missed cuts in majors the previous 5 years.

But, regardless of all of that, Garcia has gone the additional mile and refused to be too proud to compete in native qualifying to be able to proceed to make appearances on the U.S. Open. Garcia has now gone by means of U.S. Open qualifying two years in a row and made it. And this yr, he has taken that momentum and put himself at 1 beneath par and 4 photographs behind the chief heading into the weekend.

Whether or not Garcia can maintain it feels much less vital than the truth that he is nonetheless making an attempt to play properly in these occasions, which is greater than will be stated for a few of his fellow LIV members. What’s extra: Garcia began his week in Pinehurst by going 20 holes with no bogey. The final time he did that? The 2017 Masters, which he received.

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